Complex Event Analysis - Report

Key Focus

  • The US has tried to roll back China's economy, it is targeting China's technology sector. The bottom line here is that the US does not tolerate peer competitors.
    Some argue that the US cannot stop China from becoming a regional hegemon
  • A lot of people like to blame it on Xi Jinping, but I don't think it's his personality or his interests that really matter here.
    He inherited a China that's much more powerful than it was in the 1990s
  • Mearsheimer: 'The US won't tolerate China as peer competitor'
    The neorealist international relations scholar John Mearsheimer has predicted for years that China's rise will bring it into conflict with the US. He tells DW about what he expects for the future of the US-China rivalry.
    John Mearsheimer sees international relations as a "nasty and dangerous business." His theory, "offensive realism," is based on the premise that states are the main actors in international politics and their ultimate goal is survival.
    As part of the realist school of thought, Mearsheimer believes that the international system is anarchic, and that no state can know the intention of another with certainty
  • No momentum supporting factor found

    Challenge supporting factors

  • (china,technology)
  • Work-in-progress supporting factors

  • (china,mearsheimer)
  • (china,xi_jinping)
  • (china,us-china)
  • (china,school)
  • (china,pushing)
  • (china,politics)
  • (china,neorealist)
  • (asia,china,united_states)
  • (asia,china,the_us)
  • (asia,china,regionally)
  • Complex Event Time Series Summary - REPORT


    Time PeriodChallengeMomentumWIP
    Report4.65 0.00 95.35

    High Level Abstraction (HLA) combined

    High Level Abstraction (HLA)Report
    (1) (china,mearsheimer)100.00
    (2) (china,xi_jinping)96.23
    (3) (china,us-china)94.34
    (4) (china,technology)90.57
    (5) (china,school)86.79
    (6) (china,pushing)83.02
    (7) (china,politics)81.13
    (8) (china,neorealist)77.36
    (9) (asia,china,united_states)66.04
    (10) (asia,china,the_us)58.49
    (11) (asia,china,regionally)49.06
    (12) (asia,china,pushing)41.51
    (13) (asia,pushing)32.08
    (14) (asia,china,hegemon)20.75
    (15) (asia,us-china)11.32
    (16) (asia,united_states)9.43
    (17) (asia,trump)7.55
    (18) (asia,threat)5.66
    (19) (asia,the_us)3.77
    (20) (asia,the_tragedy)1.89

    Complex Event Analysis - REPORT

    Back to top of page

    Supporting narratives:

    • challenge (Read more)
      • The US has tried to roll back China's economy, it is targeting China's technology sector. The bottom line here is that the US does not tolerate peer competitors.
        Some argue that the US cannot stop China from becoming a regional hegemon
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (china,technology)
        • Inferred entity relationships (1)
        • (china,technology,trade) [inferred]

    • WIP (Read more)
      • Mearsheimer: 'The US won't tolerate China as peer competitor'
        The neorealist international relations scholar John Mearsheimer has predicted for years that China's rise will bring it into conflict with the US. He tells DW about what he expects for the future of the US-China rivalry.
        John Mearsheimer sees international relations as a "nasty and dangerous business." His theory, "offensive realism," is based on the premise that states are the main actors in international politics and their ultimate goal is survival.
        As part of the realist school of thought, Mearsheimer believes that the international system is anarchic, and that no state can know the intention of another with certainty
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (china,mearsheimer)
        • (china,us-china)
        • (china,neorealist)
        • (china,school)
        • (china,politics)
        • Inferred entity relationships (5)
        • (china,politics,xi_jinping) [inferred]
        • (china,mearsheimer,xi_jinping) [inferred]
        • (china,us-china,xi_jinping) [inferred]
        • (china,neorealist,xi_jinping) [inferred]
        • (china,school,xi_jinping) [inferred]

    • WIP (Read more)
      • A lot of people like to blame it on Xi Jinping, but I don't think it's his personality or his interests that really matter here.
        He inherited a China that's much more powerful than it was in the 1990s
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (china,xi_jinping)

    • WIP (Read more)
      • And he can throw his weight around in ways that his predecessors could not.
        The second factor is that China's neighbors and the US are pushing back.
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (china,pushing)

    • WIP (Read more)
      • And therefore, states rather seek to dominate as regional hegemons.
        Mearsheimer concluded in 2001 that China's strategic goal was to become Asia's hegemon and that the United States would try to prevent that.
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asia,china,united_states)
        • Inferred entity relationships (4)
        • (asia,china,hegemon) [inferred]
        • (asia,china,pushing) [inferred]
        • (asia,china,the_us) [inferred]
        • (asia,china,regionally) [inferred]

    • WIP (Read more)
      • And he can throw his weight around in ways that his predecessors could not.
        The second factor is that China's neighbors and the US are pushing back. The US began to contain China regionally with the 2011 pivot to Asia.
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asia,china,the_us)
        • (asia,china,regionally)
        • Inferred entity relationships (6)
        • (asia,china,hegemon) [inferred]
        • (asia,china,pushing) [inferred]
        • (asia,china,the_us) [inferred]
        • (asia,china,united_states) [inferred]
        • (china,the_us) [inferred]
        • (asia,china,regionally) [inferred]

    • WIP (Read more)
      • And he can throw his weight around in ways that his predecessors could not.
        The second factor is that China's neighbors and the US are pushing back. The US began to contain China regionally with the 2011 pivot to Asia
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asia,china,pushing)
        • (asia,pushing)
        • Inferred entity relationships (5)
        • (asia,china,hegemon) [inferred]
        • (asia,china,the_us) [inferred]
        • (asia,china,united_states) [inferred]
        • (china,pushing) [inferred]
        • (asia,china,regionally) [inferred]

    • WIP (Read more)
      • And therefore, states rather seek to dominate as regional hegemons.
        Mearsheimer concluded in 2001 that China's strategic goal was to become Asia's hegemon and that the United States would try to prevent that
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asia,china,hegemon)
        • (asia,china,hegemons)
        • Inferred entity relationships (5)
        • (asia,china,hegemon) [inferred]
        • (asia,china,pushing) [inferred]
        • (asia,china,the_us) [inferred]
        • (asia,china,united_states) [inferred]
        • (asia,china,regionally) [inferred]

    • WIP (Read more)
      • His book, The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, predicted many things we see today in US-China relations.
        Both countries consider the other as a primary threat
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asia,us-china)

    • WIP (Read more)
      • And therefore, states rather seek to dominate as regional hegemons.
        Mearsheimer concluded in 2001 that China's strategic goal was to become Asia's hegemon and that the United States would try to prevent that. His book, The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, predicted many things we see today in US-China relations.
        Both countries consider the other as a primary threat
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asia,the_tragedy)
        • (asia,united_states)

    • WIP (Read more)
      • I've always believed that there would be an intense security competition.
        But in recent years, especially since the Trump administration came to power, I've begun to think that the possibility of war is somewhat greater than I anticipated.
        And I've come to appreciate how important geography is in Asia for allowing the possibility of war.
        During the Cold War, the US and the Soviet Union focused mainly on Central Europe
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asia,trump)

    • WIP (Read more)
      • His book, The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, predicted many things we see today in US-China relations.
        Both countries consider the other as a primary threat.
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asia,threat)

    • WIP (Read more)
      • And he can throw his weight around in ways that his predecessors could not.
        The second factor is that China's neighbors and the US are pushing back. The US began to contain China regionally with the 2011 pivot to Asia. This created a spiral mechanism that is now in play: the Americans and their Asian allies are pushing back against China, and China is responding.
        International relations expert John J. Mearsheimer
        'I'm slightly more pessimistic now about the possibility of an actual war between the US and China,'says Mearsheimer
        You mentioned the pivot to Asia
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asia,the_us)

    Target rule match count: 27.0 Challenge: 0.02 Momentum: 0.00 WIP: 0.48